The Best Basketball Player Alive Got Better Again

The Best Basketball Player Alive Got Better Again

It makes sense that the early season NBA discourse would be centered around the alien in San Antonio who leveled up this offseason, but Victor Wembanyama’s inevitable crowning as the NBA’s greatest player will have to wait at least another year. Nikola Jokic, the official athlete of Splinter, is having a season for the ages, albeit with all the small sample size caveats.

Those caveats said, no one does the shit Jokic does. Not even the alien. The real debate around Jokic is not whether he is the best player in the NBA—he has been for at least the last five years—but where Jokic ranks among the all-time greats. A lot of the juvenile NBA world forever stuck in the interminable and idiotic Kobe vs. LeBron discourse is not ready for that discussion, but it’s already happening (it’s LeBron by the way, the Kobe stans are unhinged for even thinking that is worth debating).

Last night, the greatest basketball player in the world played one of his best games ever, becoming just the fourth player in NBA history to score 55 points or more on 90 percent true shooting percentage or better. It was the second half of a back-to-back against the Los Angeles Clippers, and the night before in Sacramento, Jokic scored 35 points in a 122-108 victory. Across 24 hours in California, Jokic scored 90 points on 34 of 42 shooting, collected 27 rebounds and dished out 13 assists, snagged 3 steals, and made 1 block while committing just 5 turnovers while touching the ball on practically every Nuggets possession.

Jokic currently leads the NBA in rebounds per game (13.1), assists per game (10.9), and is fifth in points per game (28.8). He’s fourth in field goal percentage (68.4). He’s shooting a preposterous 78.3 percent from two and an all-star caliber 41.7 percent from three and is making 85.9 percent of his free throws. Larry Bird was famous for inventing the 50/40/90 club only eight other NBA players have joined him in (shooting percentage / three-point percentage / free throw percentage) but Jokic could invent the 60/40/90 club this year, and 70/40/90 is within reach through 11 games. This nascent season has produced mathematical proof that at his peak, it is impossible to guard Nikola Jokic.

While this is a small sample, everyone else is playing in a small sample too, and 13.4 percent of the season played so far isn’t insignificant. Jokic currently has a 91.9 percent chance to win MVP per Basketball Reference’s MVP award tracker, as the man who has finished in the top two of the last five MVP votes looks certain to make it six years in a row.

Jokic’s win shares per 48 minutes (WS/48) this year is .4680, and per this advanced metric, that currently stands as the greatest season in NBA history by several light years. The second-greatest WS/48 season ever is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s incredible MVP defense this year at .3527 (which demonstrates how great small samples do warp this figure–the full-season WS/48 leader is Kareem Abdul-Jabbar’s 1971-72 season at .3399). Still, the gap between Jokic in first and SGA in second is larger than the gap between SGA and 194th place, Karl Malone’s .2371 WS/48 figure in 1991-92. It’s not hyperbolic nor inaccurate to call what Jokic has done through 11 games the pace for the greatest NBA season ever. It’s practically impossible to be hyperbolic about what Jokic has done so far this year.

The best player alive got better, a sentence that has been true every year for the past five years. I feel bad for those who ignored Jokic because he doesn’t play in a major media market or those who spent much of this time caught up in the stupid debate ESPN and Kendrick Perkins and all the other gasbags created around a man that LeBron James said he was in awe of like seven years ago. Those who know ball saw that ball players crowned Jokic somewhere around the 2020 bubble where, if not for Mason Plumlee leaving Anthony Davis alone on a play that will live forever in my nightmares, maybe Jokic has one more title and LeBron never gets his championship in Los Angeles and today’s NBA narrative is very different.

In either direction of that fateful Western Conference Final, Nikola Jokic’s unprecedented ascendance from being drafted during a Taco Bell commercial to the G.O.A.T. debate is still the central story in this first post-peak LeBron, Steph and Durant era of the NBA. If you missed the joy that Jokic’s greatness brings to basketball so you can condescendingly dismiss him like 2021 era Kendrick Perkins, or sing his praises without watching his games like 2023 era Kendrick Perkins, I pity you. You have missed out on some of the purest basketball that you will ever see. As a Nuggets fan I genuinely do not know how I will ever be able to enjoy this sport to the extent I have with Jokic once he’s gone. This is a once in a lifetime athlete whose true love of his horses will likely take him from us sooner than any basketball fan wants. I cannot stress this enough: enjoy Jokic’s greatness while you still can. Go in on a League Pass subscription with your friends if you have to. Nikola Jokic has made the Denver Nuggets appointment television this year. We will likely never see something like him ever again.

And Jokic still has never played with an all-star. Jamal Murray plays like an all-star when winning time comes around, but Jokic has defined this era by creating all-stars around him. I remain convinced that you could take ten guys at the YMCA and put them around Jokic and they would beat one of the NBA’s worst teams during their late season tanking malaise. Every single person who gets placed next to Jokic plays the best basketball of their life because Jokic’s unselfish genius makes sure of it.

Clippers coach Tyronn Lue was asked about Jokic’s 55-point scoring explosion last night, and he explained how they wanted Jokic to score. It may sound counterintuitive to the Perkins-style hot take artists who don’t watch Nuggets games, but this is the correct way to beat Denver that all the smart teams try while all the dumb teams double team Jokic so he can create a layup or an open three for someone else. That Jokic has turned that strategy on its head through 11 games by becoming potentially the greatest and most efficient individual scorer in basketball history is yet another puzzle piece he has added to the equation that the league now needs to go back to the drawing board to solve.

Every year Jokic gets better. And not a little better, there’s always some big improvement in his game. It’s nuts. At some point you would think the best player alive would reach a point of diminishing returns, but the hardest worker in sports’ only consistency outside his staggering consistency is that he keeps defying everyone’s expectations. Jokic was a turnstile defensively once upon a time (if you are still making this argument, you are letting people know you haven’t watched basketball in at least five years), and now he’s one of the league’s better paint defenders who anchored a championship defense. He was too timid to shoot, and teams dared him to and he cost the Nuggets games by over-passing. Now he’s a 40-plus percent three-point shooter ruining teams’ rebounding coverages as their lankiest defenders get dragged to the perimeter by his black hole-level basketball gravity. Before last night, the Nuggets were 0-3 in games where Jokic scored at least 50 points. Now they’re 1-3. Every time the league thinks they have a proven strategy to beat Jokic, he calmly reveals another trick up his sleeve.

Nikola Jokic is not just the best player in the NBA, he is on pace to force himself into greatest basketball player of all time conversation alongside Michael Jordan and LeBron James and Wilt Chamberlain and Magic Johnson and Larry Bird and Kareem Abdul-Jabbar. I know many NBA fans are trained at this point by 2021 era Kendrick Perkins to scoff at assertions like that, but why wouldn’t the guy breaking so many of Wilt’s previously untouchable records be in the G.O.A.T. discussion Wilt is in too? If you have not watched Nikola Jokic this year, you should rectify that as soon as possible, because you have not seen the best version of who may eventually be regarded as the greatest basketball player of all time.

 
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